The 2014 hurricane season, for now, looks to be a quieter season than in previous years, according to the forecasters at Colorado State University.
The CSU forecast calls for nine named storms, three growing into hurricanes, with one reaching category 3 or higher with winds of 111 miles per hour or greater.
The team cites the likely development of an El Niño event and unusual cooling in Atlantic waters.
“The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months, and the chances of a moderate to strong El Niño event this summer and fall appear to be quite high,” Phil Klotzbach, co-author of the report, said. “Historical data indicate fewer storms form in these conditions.”
Klotzbach added that so far, the 2014 season looks to be similar to the 1957, 1963, 1965, 1997 and 2002 hurricane seasons, all of which had normal or below-normal activity.
However, Klotzbach said those who are in danger of being hit by a hurricane should take all of their usual precautions. “It takes only one landfall event near you to make this an active season."
The CSU team will update their forecasts in June and July.